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Old September 19th, 2017, 10:37 PM   #1
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North Korea's nuclear blackmail

1. As far back as February 20, 2013, I pointed out "at least 50 years of headache for China, Japan and US" in my thread at a US political forum.

(Begin excerpts)
South Korean President Lee Myung-Bak said on Friday (15 Feb) that North Korea can never be made to abandon its nuclear weapons programme, arguing that only regime collapse could remove the threat from Pyongyang.

Alas! It is a fat hope for the Kim Dynasty to end so soon. Kim Jong-un is about 30 years old. Assuming that he won't meet with any fatal accident or get any deadly disease like cancer or AIDS, he could easily live to more than 80 years old. By then he would have outlasted many American, Chinese and Japanese leaders.

Thus the next period of 50 years is no cause for optimism in Asia. It will be a period of tension and conflicts in the Korean Peninsula. We shall see him dominating and directing the events in Northeast Asia. He will be the source of headache for China, Japan and the US. (End excerpts)

2. According to https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...=.41de893b9b4b

(Begin excerpts)
...North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho told diplomats that his country will never negotiate away what he called a rational “strategic option” against the threat of attack from the United States.

“We will, under no circumstances, put the nukes and ballistic rockets” up for negotiation, Ri said in prepared remarks, adding that the entire United States is within range of its missiles.... (End excerpts)

North Korea has vowed many times that it will never give up its nuclear weapons. However, Chinese leaders seem never understand what the North Korean regime is talking. They seem to underestimate its ruthless determination in pursuing nuclear weapons. Hence they keep chanting the mantra "Dialogue and negotiations are the only way out", forgetting the humiliating, unequal treaties imposed by Western imperial powers and the Japanese Empire after every so-called dialogue during the 19th and early 20th centuries.

Dialogue and negotiations can only yield results when one side is stronger than the other. Usually after a war, the conqueror would force the conquered to "negotiate" for an unequal treaty. Examples of such treaties were the Treaty of Versailles, Treaty of San Francisco, Treaty of Sevres, Cairo Treaty and Potsdam Agreements.

Dialogue and negotiations are the only way out

3. At a news conference in China on 5 September 2017, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Kim Jong Un would allow his people to “eat grass” before he ever gives up his nuclear and missile defense programs. North Korea's reckless pursuit of nuclear weapons raises some interesting questions.

What will North Korea do with its growing stockpile of nuclear weapons some years down the road? Will Fatboy Kim dismantle his nuclear missiles to feed his people with scrap metals if there is no more grass left for them to "graze"?

Even if scrap metals can be eaten, we don't expect the "Ball of Fat" to dismantle his nuclear weapons to feed his people. To him, nuclear weapons are more important and precious than the lives of his people. Then we come to the final and most important question:

What is the goal of North Korea in developing nuclear weapons? It is not for ensuring the survival of the North Korean regime as commonly propagated by the state media. This lame excuse is refuted by the following facts.

(a) It was not nuclear weapons but Chinese intervention that rescued the North Korean communists and prevented them from completely wiped out by US-led UN forces in the 1950 Korean War.

(b) It is the Chinese nuclear umbrella that ensures the continued survival of the "Impossible State".

(c) It is the Chinese economic lifeline that prevents the collapse of the "Impossible State".

Taking away the China factor from the equation, the nuclear-armed rogue state would be just as vulnerable and helpless as Saddam Hussein"s Iraq, Muammar Gaddafi's Libya or a lone island in the ocean. Now we come back to the question: What is the goal of North Korea in developing nuclear weapons?

North Korea cannot keep on accumulating nuclear weapons for ever. There will come a point in time it has to put them into "good use". For what use and purpose?

It's not hard to see the goal of North Korea's nuclear missile programme, that is, to finish the unfinished business of the 1950 Korean War to subdue the South and rule the Korean Peninsula under the banner of the Kim Dynasty using nuclear blackmail. Once the US forces withdraw from Asia, the majority of the population in South Korea would rather opt to wave the white flag than see their country become a "sea of fire".

4. Unlike communist North Vietnam which tried to whip up anti-war sentiment among American sympathisers with pictures of horrors inflicted by US forces on innocent Vietnamese civilians during the Vietnam War, North Korea is just doing the opposite. It is resorting to nuclear blackmail in order to strike terror into the hearts of Americans to get them call their government to withdraw from Asia so that it can achieve its ultimate goal of subduing the South. As seen in the following links, North Korea's nuclear threats against America do work to some extent.

(a) According to https://www.yahoo.com/news/guam-resi...033540651.html

"Residents of the tiny Pacific island of Guam say they're afraid of being caught in the middle of escalating tensions between the U.S. and North Korea after Pyongyang announced it was examining plans for attacking the strategically important U.S. territory.

Though local officials downplayed any threat, people who live and work on the island, which serves as a launching pad for the U.S. military, said Wednesday they could no longer shrug off the idea of being a potential target."

(b) According to https://beta.theglobeandmail.com/new...beandmail.com&

"The growing nuclear anxiety felt by a majority of Americans – borne out in recent opinion polls, and in parallels made to the Cuban missile crisis – points to just how much the recent standoff with North Korea has seeped into the public consciousness."

(c) And there are already voices of appeasement in the US such as "It’s time to recognize that North Korea is a nuclear power." If this happens, the day won't be far off for North Korean tanks to roll all the way to Seoul and one of them will crash through the gates of the Blue House. Seeing a small impoverished state could easily achieve such an incredible feat, China would feel compelled or be tempted to "liberate" Taiwan by nuclear blackmail.

If America is forced by the fear of nuclear war to withdraw from Asia, it may let South Korea, Japan and even Taiwan develop nuclear weapons as a last resort. This last step will surely send the stupid Japanophobic Chinese leaders screaming in protest.

5. In the "Arabian Nights", Sinbad was enslaved by the Old Man of the Sea, who rode on his shoulders with his legs twisted round Sinbad's neck and would not let go, riding him both day and night until Sinbad would welcome death.

Similarly, China had been carrying the North Korean burden since the 1950 Korean War. Unlike Sinbad who managed to get rid of his deadly burden, Chinese leaders are stupid enough to continue shouldering the North Korean economic burden, cherishing it like "the jewel in the crown" of the whole country.

Chinese leaders may have the illusion that they are like the ancient Greek gods on Olympus, just observing the conflicts of mankind from the heights. If they err for a second time to drag themselves into another Korean War, their folly could bring China back to the era of the Qing Dynasty. Looking back at the 1979 Sino-Vietnamese war, it won't be difficult for China to see that it will be the next target once North Korea succeeds to subdue the South with nuclear blackmail.

North Korean nuclear missiles can already hit all Chinese cities. The whole of China is within range of North Korean nuclear missiles before they can reach the American mainland. If the Rocket Man decides to fire a few nuclear missiles at some densely-populated Chinese regions, there is no way China can shoot them down even if it has the technology. North Korean nuclear missiles are too close to China for comfort. It is just like facing a gunman a few metres away. Thus in the final analysis, China will end up as the main loser whether in war or peace.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinbad_the_Sailor

SINBAD AND THE OLD MAN OF THE SEA (an Arabian tale), Tell Me a Story | uexpress

Putin: North Koreans Will 'Eat Grass' for Kim's Weapons

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unequal_treaty

https://www.thoughtco.com/unequal-treaties-195456

The Treaty of Versailles - History Learning Site

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potsdam_Conference

https://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign...diaoyu-islands

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_San_Francisco

The Treaty of Sevres - History Learning Site

Goal to establish the equilibrium of real force

Last edited by reedak; September 20th, 2017 at 04:47 AM.
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Old September 20th, 2017, 10:14 PM   #2
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Quote:
North Korean nuclear missiles can already hit all Chinese cities. The whole of China is within range of North Korean nuclear missiles before they can reach the American mainland. If the Rocket Man decides to fire a few nuclear missiles at some densely-populated Chinese regions, there is no way China can shoot them down even if it has the technology. North Korean nuclear missiles are too close to China for comfort. It is just like facing a gunman a few metres away. Thus in the final analysis, China will end up as the main loser whether in war or peace.
China will never be targeted by North Korea but its propaganda news channel repeatedly stated that Japan will be reduced to ashes by its thermonuclear weapons and it also mentioned Guam as a potential target. China is not actually serious about containing North Korea, only pretending to be cooperating Trump so that it can avoid getting hit by economic sanctions on Chinese exports to the United States. China is the main supplier of nuclear and missile technologies to North Korea, educating Korean nuclear scientists through exchange programs.

Quote:
China accounted for 60% of research papers by North Koreans in foreign journals from 2011 through 2016, mostly in physics, engineering, math, metallurgy and materials science, a study of academic databases by researchers from South Korea’s Hallym University found.

Papers published by North Koreans in China since the 2016 U.N. sanctions span civilian fields such as medicine and mining but also include several in fields now prohibited, including metallic foams that protect against radiation.

Sending more scientists abroad, and giving them perks at home, has been central to Kim Jong Un’s policy of byungjin, or parallel progress, to develop nuclear weapons and the economy—a policy he introduced publicly after taking power on his father’s 2011 death.

North Korea has said it needs nuclear weapons to prevent an attack by the U.S. It began its nuclear-arms program with Soviet backing in the 1950s and for years had small exchanges of scientists with the Eastern Bloc. After the Cold War’s end, Pyongyang traded for nuclear and missile expertise, mainly with Iran and Pakistan, according to historians, while continuing to send a few scientists abroad.

Since North Korea’s first nuclear test in 2006, U.S. and U.N. sanctions have focused on curbing the flow of money and dual-use materials to Pyongyang’s weapons programs. The regime has compensated by trying to develop more indigenous weapons know-how, experts on North Korea said.

Kim Jong Un’s byungjin policy has helped Pyongyang develop a wide spectrum of technical expertise—including metallurgists to make strong, lightweight alloys for rockets, mathematicians to help guide missiles and satellite engineers to improve targeting and reconnaissance, said experts and Western government officials.
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Last edited by ThirdTerm; September 20th, 2017 at 10:20 PM.
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Old September 21st, 2017, 12:38 AM   #3
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I find it likely China will live to regret playing with NK. At some point we will have a competent President and functional Pentagon as well as a State Department. Until then they both get to do whatever they want....this will be remedied.
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Old September 21st, 2017, 02:24 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tecoyah View Post
I find it likely China will live to regret playing with NK. At some point we will have a competent President and functional Pentagon as well as a State Department. Until then they both get to do whatever they want....this will be remedied.
I think that horse has jumpd the fence and wandering merrily off down the lane. I think 3rd Term is right, China is just using NK as a thug to do their bidding, leashed and unleashed on the world stage when they feel it works in their favour.
Trump was pounding the drum over China and trade during the run-up ranting and raving at imagined inequalities, now attension is diverted to NK and the US has to ask China to rein them in...who's in the realpolitik driving seat?
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