1. (CNN) — A Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026 would result in thousands of casualties among Chinese, United States, Taiwanese and Japanese forces, and it would be unlikely to result in a victory for Beijing, according to a prominent independent Washington think tank, which conducted war game simulations of a possible conflict that is preoccupying military and political leaders in Asia and Washington.
A war over Taiwan could leave a victorious US military in as crippled a state as the Chinese forces it defeated.
At the end of the conflict, at least two US aircraft carriers would lie at the bottom of the Pacific and China’s modern navy, which is the largest in the world, would be in “shambles.”
Those are among the conclusions the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), made after running what it claims is one of the most extensive war-game simulations ever conducted on a possible conflict over Taiwan, the democratically ruled island of 24 million that the Chinese Communist Party claims as part of its sovereign territory despite never having controlled it.....
Source Link: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/01/09/politics/taiwan-invasion-war-game-intl-hnk-ml/index.html
2. According to John Giannandrea (Google’s head of machine learning) and many other IT experts, "computers are remarkably dumb.” Computers are stupid. They are actually entirely useless unless humans tell them exactly what to do.
Take for example, the defeat of former world chess champion Garry Kasparov by Deep Blue, an IBM computer on February 10, 1996. Although Deep Blue could evaluate 200 million moves per second, such capability was not a sign of genius. The true genius is not the machine but man (the programmer).
The CSIS war-game simulations were therefore unrealistic and incomplete as they involved only a few countries. What you feed into the computer is what you get in the end. If a war breaks out across the Taiwan Strait, it won't just involve only the Chinese, United States, Taiwanese and Japanese forces. Coward Uncle Sam will gather all his so-called allies -- Japan, South Korea, Australia, India, the UK, Canada, perhaps even NATO and the G-7 -- to fight against China in the event of a war.
In the ensuing chaos, North Korea will take the rare opportunity to "liberate" the South. Like the fisherman in the ancient Chinese fable of the snipe and clam quarrel, Russia will be waiting in the wings to reap the final benefits as in the Chinese proverb "鹬 蚌 相 争, 鱼 人 得 利".
A war over Taiwan could leave a victorious US military in as crippled a state as the Chinese forces it defeated.
At the end of the conflict, at least two US aircraft carriers would lie at the bottom of the Pacific and China’s modern navy, which is the largest in the world, would be in “shambles.”
Those are among the conclusions the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), made after running what it claims is one of the most extensive war-game simulations ever conducted on a possible conflict over Taiwan, the democratically ruled island of 24 million that the Chinese Communist Party claims as part of its sovereign territory despite never having controlled it.....
Source Link: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/01/09/politics/taiwan-invasion-war-game-intl-hnk-ml/index.html
2. According to John Giannandrea (Google’s head of machine learning) and many other IT experts, "computers are remarkably dumb.” Computers are stupid. They are actually entirely useless unless humans tell them exactly what to do.
Take for example, the defeat of former world chess champion Garry Kasparov by Deep Blue, an IBM computer on February 10, 1996. Although Deep Blue could evaluate 200 million moves per second, such capability was not a sign of genius. The true genius is not the machine but man (the programmer).
The CSIS war-game simulations were therefore unrealistic and incomplete as they involved only a few countries. What you feed into the computer is what you get in the end. If a war breaks out across the Taiwan Strait, it won't just involve only the Chinese, United States, Taiwanese and Japanese forces. Coward Uncle Sam will gather all his so-called allies -- Japan, South Korea, Australia, India, the UK, Canada, perhaps even NATO and the G-7 -- to fight against China in the event of a war.
In the ensuing chaos, North Korea will take the rare opportunity to "liberate" the South. Like the fisherman in the ancient Chinese fable of the snipe and clam quarrel, Russia will be waiting in the wings to reap the final benefits as in the Chinese proverb "鹬 蚌 相 争, 鱼 人 得 利".
