Eurozone to prepare for Greek exit

myp

Jan 2009
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Exactly. Dollars and other such fake money, inflates gold dose not. Gold is more stable

No! Not exactly. That is gold priced in real dollars. It is not a nominal value- inflation is not a factor. In other words, it is gold priced in the value of the dollar at one instance in the year 2000. Shows that the price of gold fluctuates in even real terms and tremendously so.
 
Jan 2012
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No! Not exactly. That is gold priced in real dollars. It is not a nominal value- inflation is not a factor. In other words, it is gold priced in the value of the dollar at one instance in the year 2000. Shows that the price of gold fluctuates in even real terms and tremendously so.

Fake dollars, real dollars don't exist any more.

It is as simple as supply and demand. The dollars value has plumited because the current administration has printed more, you cant print more gold, i have repeated this fact over and over. And there is no argument against it. The dollar has artificial value, meaning, it is good for nothing other than what the government says so. And we have watched it drop in value ever sence its creation.

The fact that you are measuring golds value by a radically fluctuating meter proves only that the meter is unstable

Dis agree with this the buying power of gold has not changed in 100 years.

You dont understand value, or you skipped economics
 

myp

Jan 2009
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What do you mean by "fake" dollars? You can take the USD from 1920 and you'll get the same results. Because it is in REAL terms. See this for more: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_versus_nominal_value_(economics)

And even if you make the fallacious argument that the dollar is fake, that very graph I posted also shows the value of gold vs. a commodity index (the red line in the graph)- more commodities, which you agree have value. Even there, you see the tremendous change in value of gold.

And it is not me that does not understand econ or is neglecting it. The value of gold simply HAS changed in the last 100 years and forever dating back to the beginning of time. It does not matter what school you talk to, any economist will admit that- even the Austrian school in which many support commodity backed currency.

On a side note, if you think the dollars in your wallet are so fake, useless, and worthless, feel free to give them to me :p
 
Jan 2012
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What do you mean by "fake" dollars? You can take the USD from 1920 and you'll get the same results. Because it is in REAL terms. See this for more: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_versus_nominal_value_(economics)

And even if you make the fallacious argument that the dollar is fake, that very graph I posted also shows the value of gold vs. a commodity index (the red line in the graph)- more commodities, which you agree have value. Even there, you see the tremendous change in value of gold.

And it is not me that does not understand econ or is neglecting it. The value of gold simply HAS changed in the last 100 years and forever dating back to the beginning of time. It does not matter what school you talk to, any economist will admit that- even the Austrian school in which many support commodity backed currency.

On a side note, if you think the dollars in your wallet are so fake, useless, and worthless, feel free to give them to me :p
that is false, obviously you are neglecting economics, because gold is far more stable than dollars.

Where do you come up with fake meaning worthless, now you have lost the grasp on diction. If the fed prints out more money it will be worthless.

I will trade my dollars for your Gold. Sene the dallar is so great i want 1904 silver dallars, being that they are all the same i will trade you face value.

If gold did not treaten the dollar why did FDR illegalize owning it
 

myp

Jan 2009
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that is false, obviously you are neglecting economics, because gold is far more stable than dollars.
Gold is volatile- it is much more subject to market forces and speculation. That graph that I posted shows it. There is also a limited amount. Dollars can be controlled via a central bank. More importantly, do you have any data, research, or even opinion by a notable economist that supports your theory? With all due respect, I expected a civil conversation with you based on our interactions in the past, but you keep suggesting that I am "neglecting economics" which I take as an offense since I am trying to be objective here. I think given the economic theories that are popular today, I am the one that is paying attention to econ more anyway. But again, please enlighten me if you think you are still right by giving me some proof other than just repeating your argument ad nauseum. And please save the insulting comments.

Where do you come up with fake meaning worthless, now you have lost the grasp on diction. If the fed prints out more money it will be worthless.
That simply isn't true. QE 1 and QE 2 have left us with still below 2% inflation. And what is fake? Maybe I think some random shiny gold metal is fake. You are making a subjective argument in an arena that allows for objective analysis.

If gold did not treaten the dollar why did FDR illegalize owning it
Well we were on a gold standard then, so I don't know why that is relevant to my argument.
 
Jan 2012
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Gold is volatile- it is much more subject to market forces and speculation. That graph that I posted shows it. There is also a limited amount. Dollars can be controlled via a central bank. More importantly, do you have any data, research, or even opinion by a notable economist that supports your theory? With all due respect, I expected a civil conversation with you based on our interactions in the past, but you keep suggesting that I am "neglecting economics" which I take as an offense since I am trying to be objective here. I think given the economic theories that are popular today, I am the one that is paying attention to econ more anyway. But again, please enlighten me if you think you are still right by giving me some proof other than just repeating your argument ad nauseum. And please save the insulting comments.
Sorry that I offended you.

Popular theories are not correct because they are popular, i dont need an expert economist to say that gold has a universal value. Anybody in the economic world will value gold

That simply isn't true. QE 1 and QE 2 have left us with still below 2% inflation. And what is fake? Maybe I think some random shiny gold metal is fake. You are making a subjective argument in an arena that allows for objective analysis.
by fake i mean artificial, being that a bank is nessasary to establis value. But gold is far more universal. Nerly all cultures on this planet value gold, only several value dollars. Go to japan and see if they want dollars or gold, they will take the gold. It doesn't matter what you think about gold everybody else will value it unless welth is not something people want. I will take all of your fake shiny metal. Not sure what QE 1 and QE2 is but i don't think that matters. The fact that things cost more dollars and less gol kind of proves my point. Why has the dollar changed so much over the years, why does milk cost 4 dollars a gallon, VS 1.29 when i was a boy. But it would equal out to the same if we used gold. Actually you would get more milk now for the same gold than in the 60s. Why do we keep raising the minimum wadge, it certianly didnt need to be raised if inflation is only 2%. it should still be 2.50 maybe 3.00. But the buying power of the dollar has deminished when gold has increased. True money is easier to exchange than gold but that is all.


Well we were on a gold standard then, so I don't know why that is relevant to my argument.
We actually went off of the gold standard, it had to do with too much money in to few pockets. He illegalized gold because he created a new system of money, where each dollar didnt represent gold a fixed amount of gold but they could fraction it out. Leading to the system we have today. My point is that if the treasury decided to make an anouncement that the dollar wasn't worth anything, it would be true, not only would merchants in the state not take them, forign nations certianly wouldn't but if they did the same thing with gold, we would just laugh and use it on the forgin market.

True people might just say screw the government my dollars are still worth dollars and trade them anyway, but that is very unlikely. Really what gives a dollar worth is our faith in it.
 

myp

Jan 2009
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Sorry that I offended you.

Popular theories are not correct because they are popular, i dont need an expert economist to say that gold has a universal value. Anybody in the economic world will value gold
You don't need an expert, but you need facts. You need studies, you need research. You have provided none. And the market has already shown it values USD. Wall St., the banks, and heck even you (assuming you buy and sell things with dollars and work for dollars) value it.

Gold inherently is not better than dollars because its value too comes from subjective appraisals. The value of ANYTHING does. It is the subjective theory of value. To give you an example of why it is not inherently stable: assume a small economy that consists only of two people- me and you. We both work for 1 gold coin a day. One day, I decide I no longer want 1 gold coin but instead want 2. Well right there the value of gold has changed in terms of market price because the demand has changed (assuming supply is constant).

by fake i mean artificial, being that a bank is nessasary to establis value. But gold is far more universal. Nerly all cultures on this planet value gold, only several value dollars. Go to japan and see if they want dollars or gold, they will take the gold. It doesn't matter what you think about gold everybody else will value it unless welth is not something people want. I will take all of your fake shiny metal.

Actually it does matter if I think it is a fake shiny metal (which I do not- I think it is valuable too, but I am just saying this as a hypothetical to prove my point). Because I am part of the market and my valuation matters. The value is subjective, I already showed it. Also, Japan is one of the biggest holders of US treasuries (denominated in USD) ;)

Not sure what QE 1 and QE2 is but i don't think that matters.
Actually it does. They were treasury purchases by the Federal Reserve that expanded the money supply by about 2 trillion (they bought treasuries with USD that they made). And yet, inflation is below 2%. Of course the explanation is that velocity has been low. But that is proof that your simple claim is false.

The fact that things cost more dollars and less gol kind of proves my point. Why has the dollar changed so much over the years, why does milk cost 4 dollars a gallon, VS 1.29 when i was a boy. But it would equal out to the same if we used gold. Actually you would get more milk now for the same gold than in the 60s. Why do we keep raising the minimum wadge, it certianly didnt need to be raised if inflation is only 2%. it should still be 2.50 maybe 3.00. But the buying power of the dollar has deminished when gold has increased. True money is easier to exchange than gold but that is all.
Gold has not been stable. It has gone up and down. To prove it, again go to the graph I linked to you earlier. X ounces of gold at the last date in that graph would have bought you about 3 times the amount it would have bought you in 2002 (assuming milk prices are constant) but only about 1/2 of what it would have bought you circa 1980.

That aside, why do you think deflation is good (when you suggest that gold being able to buy now more than in the past is good)? For one, you have to deal with a potential deflationary spiral. Even if you don't buy that idea (which I don't necessarily), it really is a disincentive- why should holding money increase the value of your holdings? The goal of money is not to make it an investment vehicle. Then there is the point about wage stickiness and overall stickiness of certain prices- that will cause a lot of problems given a deflationary currency (in your case deflationary gold).


We actually went off of the gold standard, it had to do with too much money in to few pockets. He illegalized gold because he created a new system of money, where each dollar didnt represent gold a fixed amount of gold but they could fraction it out. Leading to the system we have today.
Yea... that's not true. You skipped Bretton Woods and all that all together.

My point is that if the treasury decided to make an anouncement that the dollar wasn't worth anything, it would be true, not only would merchants in the state not take them, forign nations certianly wouldn't but if they did the same thing with gold, we would just laugh and use it on the forgin market.
They'd never do it. Even if they did, it would still have value probably. Oh and the Fed, not the Treasury controls the currency.

Really what gives a dollar worth is our faith in it.
That is true for EVERYTHING. Including gold. Look up the subjective theory of value.
 
Jan 2012
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Gold ends up being the world's most useful currency because it's not controlled by any government. There are a lot of reasons to believe that the central banks of the world, who won't necessarily want to keep receiving dollars over time, will switch into gold in a big way at some point in time in the future.
 
Jan 2012
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the Federal Reserve has a clear 100-year track record of devaluing the dollar, making this a likely scenario. Now it seems the bank is running out of options to quell inflation while fostering growth in the struggling US economy. Rogers
 

myp

Jan 2009
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clax, are you just going to ignore everything I typed above and repeat your argument ad nauseum? I can say the sky is purple a billion times, but that won't mean the sky becomes purple.

Maybe thinking about it from these questions will give you another take on it:

1) Do you think gold is subject to supply and demand? And do you agree that the supply and moreso the demand changes over time? If so, you agree that it is not completely stable. If you don't agree, you are ignoring the real market price changes- actual data. You are literally ignoring fact.

2) Do you think that money should be as stable as possible? If so, it makes no sense to let gold which goes up and down A LOT be money, at least not without central bank intervention.

3) Do you agree that with any item in the world some people will value it more than others? Including gold? (take a father who has $10 USD to his name and has to feed his family- he isn't going to pay it to buy gold. The gold speculator on the other hand, might. If you agree, you agree that value is subjective and that goes for ALL value whether it is gold or the USD.

Honestly, please read up on the Federal Reserve system and monetary theory because I think you are misunderstanding how things work. Your implication that the Treasury is responsible for the currency, not knowing the difference between nominal and real value, etc. suggests to me you haven't familiarized yourself with the facts, theories, and system before you started arguing against it so vehemently.

Also, central banks in no way look like they are going to be switching to gold any time soon :p
 
May 2009
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USA
The value of currency is it's purchasing power. Gold miners paid much in gold to eat eggs in the Klondike.
 
Jan 2012
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Texas
clax, are you just going to ignore everything I typed above and repeat your argument ad nauseum? I can say the sky is purple a billion times, but that won't mean the sky becomes purple.

Maybe thinking about it from these questions will give you another take on it:

1) Do you think gold is subject to supply and demand? And do you agree that the supply and moreso the demand changes over time? If so, you agree that it is not completely stable. If you don't agree, you are ignoring the real market price changes- actual data. You are literally ignoring fact.

2) Do you think that money should be as stable as possible? If so, it makes no sense to let gold which goes up and down A LOT be money, at least not without central bank intervention.

3) Do you agree that with any item in the world some people will value it more than others? Including gold? (take a father who has $10 USD to his name and has to feed his family- he isn't going to pay it to buy gold. The gold speculator on the other hand, might. If you agree, you agree that value is subjective and that goes for ALL value whether it is gold or the USD.

Honestly, please read up on the Federal Reserve system and monetary theory because I think you are misunderstanding how things work. Your implication that the Treasury is responsible for the currency, not knowing the difference between nominal and real value, etc. suggests to me you haven't familiarized yourself with the facts, theories, and system before you started arguing against it so vehemently.

Also, central banks in no way look like they are going to be switching to gold any time soon :p
I agree that it is subject to supply and demand, I disagree that supplu changes, because there is no way to produce gold, it has to be mined, it is a resorce, therefor limited supply. Until we can mine it on another planet or create it in the lab, there is as much gold now as there ever will be and ever has been, that is a fact.v

Yes i agree other cultures value things differently, but most value gold over US currency, if the guy with 10 USD lived in egypt, i would say the gold is more valuble.

I absolutly disagree that gold is more un stable than the dollar, in 1950 you could buy gold at 35 dollars an ounce, true when people buy it up in record numbers it makes an artificial spike in it's value, being that any comodity will do that, not a valid argument. The reason it is four times higher now than in the 80s is because the value of the dollar has plumited in the past 5 years, because there is no limit to supply. And your analagy about the gold coin, and the worker wanting 2 rather than one, that dose not decrease the value of the gold because it doesn't increase supply. Mining increases supply of gold,not minting.

How do you explain in 1913 you could perchise a loaf of bread for a nickle and now it is two dollars, but the gold value is relativly similar. That represents a 2000% inflation in 100 years verses a 8% inflation over 100 years but say it is 100% inflated, which it's not, tht is still representitive of a much more stable value. In 1965 you could get a gllon of gas for a quarter, now it is 3.60 the similar value of the silver quarters scrap value from 1964. That is a fact that can't be desputed
 
Jan 2012
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You are ignoring everything I have typed

If the equiilant value of the junk silver in a quater is worth a quarter in the sixties and now worth 3.00 in the current time, that means the dollar is completely unstable, how can you sit and say it isnt when fact proves otherwise. Minus an artifical spike in the value of a dollar
 

myp

Jan 2009
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50
I agree that it is subject to supply and demand, I disagree that supplu changes, because there is no way to produce gold, it has to be mined, it is a resorce, therefor limited supply. Until we can mine it on another planet or create it in the lab, there is as much gold now as there ever will be and ever has been, that is a fact.v
Actually gold is still being mined. But I agreed that the supply doesn't change much. The demand however does, clearly.

Yes i agree other cultures value things differently, but most value gold over US currency, if the guy with 10 USD lived in egypt, i would say the gold is more valuble.
It is not a matter of cultures, it is a matter of individuals. You value things differently than I do as does any other individual. That's how it is. And clearly the vast majority of us value the USD still. We value it because of its function and because we think it has value. Same reason why we value gold. There is nothing inherently different.

I absolutly disagree that gold is more un stable than the dollar, in 1950 you could buy gold at 35 dollars an ounce, true when people buy it up in record numbers it makes an artificial spike in it's value, being that any comodity will do that, not a valid argument.
My point is gold is volatile. Not really good for a currency. With the USD at least we can control the rate of inflation over the long run.

And your analagy about the gold coin, and the worker wanting 2 rather than one, that dose not decrease the value of the gold because it doesn't increase supply. Mining increases supply of gold,not minting.
Demand matters too. That was the whole point.

How do you explain in 1913 you could perchise a loaf of bread for a nickle and now it is two dollars, but the gold value is relativly similar. That represents a 2000% inflation in 100 years verses a 8% inflation over 100 years but say it is 100% inflated, which it's not, tht is still representitive of a much more stable value. In 1965 you could get a gllon of gas for a quarter, now it is 3.60 the similar value of the silver quarters scrap value from 1964. That is a fact that can't be desputed
How about you talk about after 1971 when the gold tie was gone? Since there the USD has inflated 225%, far below the 467.4% it should have at 2% annual inflation.
 

myp

Jan 2009
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You are ignoring everything I have typed

If the equiilant value of the junk silver in a quater is worth a quarter in the sixties and now worth 3.00 in the current time, that means the dollar is completely unstable, how can you sit and say it isnt when fact proves otherwise. Minus an artifical spike in the value of a dollar

No one in this thread other has suggested that the USD has not inflated. I know it has. Inflation on a targeted path (or within a range) is not the same as instability though- you are misusing that word in the context of monetary economics. See my response above for more.
 
Jan 2012
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Here is another thing, that can prove gold is more stable then a dollar that doesn't require a eoconomist conartist to understand, Take a dollar, or a penny in this case and melt it down or chop it up and see what will be more valuble, the shredded paper or melted zinc or the equivalan amount of gold melted down or chopped up.

Being that the dollar is only valuble as a whole with the denomination of the currency is visable and that the security devices are present proves the dollar has artificial value.

Plus you cant counterfit Gold, and there are super bills that are near impassable to tell if they are counterfits. Right there is proof that your point is moot.
 

myp

Jan 2009
5,841
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Here is another thing, that can prove gold is more stable then a dollar that doesn't require a eoconomist conartist to understand, Take a dollar, or a penny in this case and melt it down or chop it up and see what will be more valuble, the shredded paper or melted zinc or the equivalan amount of gold melted down or chopped up.

Being that the dollar is only valuble as a whole with the denomination of the currency is visable and that the security devices are present proves the dollar has artificial value.

How is that logical? Do me a favor. Melt down your television set and see how much the melted metal and plastic are worth. If it is worth less than what you would have paid for the tv, that too was fake value (by your definition).

Plus you cant counterfit Gold, and there are super bills that are near impassable to tell if they are counterfits. Right there is proof that your point is moot.
The USD doesn't have a counterfeiting problem. And you absolutely can cheat people with gold (ever hear of the old scams with metal or other element bars being put inside gold bars?)
 
Jan 2012
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How is that logical? Do me a favor. Melt down your television set and see how much the melted metal and plastic are worth. If it is worth less than what you would have paid for the tv, that too was fake value (by your definition).
you are being completly illogical. If TVs were currency than that point would make sence. Further more your TV would have no value if it didn't work, just like your dollar.

The USD doesn't have a counterfeiting problem. And you absolutely can cheat people with gold (ever hear of the old scams with metal or other element bars being put inside gold bars?)
old scams, meaning they don't work anymore. You can't fabricate gold, you can lie about its purity, but i can prove you are lieing with a simple test. Being that man makes money, means any man can make money. Therefor it is simply copying the process that is available to anyone, with funds.

Making gold reqires God
 

myp

Jan 2009
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you are being completly illogical. If TVs were currency than that point would make sence. Further more your TV would have no value if it didn't work, just like your dollar.
I'm really not being illogical- that is literally the argument you just made. An even better one: take your baseball card that is worth a bunch of money and melt it down and then see how much the ashes are worth. Really doesn't make sense, does it? The USD has value since it is USD- when you change it to not being USD, how can you expect it to have the same value?

old scams, meaning they don't work anymore. You can't fabricate gold, you can lie about its purity, but i can prove you are lieing with a simple test.
Really not a "simple test". And you expect every transaction in a store or something to test the gold to make sure it is pure? You can still cheat the gold system, don't pretend you can't. And God probably didn't make gold ;)
 
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