Iowa Caucuses

myp

Jan 2009
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Who else is watching the coverage right now? Results should start coming in soon but right now it looks like Romney and Paul are tied for first and Santorum is third (according to entrance polls).
 
Aug 2011
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Who else is watching the coverage right now? Results should start coming in soon but right now it looks like Romney and Paul are tied for first and Santorum is third (according to entrance polls).

According to CBS they're in a dead heat. Santorum must therefore have picked up 8 points IN A FEW DAYS. If the caucuses were held a few days later, he'd probably win. Still might.
 

myp

Jan 2009
5,841
50
According to CBS they're in a dead heat. Santorum must therefore have picked up 8 points IN A FEW DAYS. If the caucuses were held a few days later, he'd probably win. Still might.
With 93% of the vote in, CNN shows Santorum leading Romney by 99 votes. Ridiculously close. Paul will finish in third followed by Newt.
 
Dec 2011
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Watching it now. Last I heard, Santorum and Romney were dead-even with over 90% of polls reporting.

As myp said---Very close.

I would love to see Santorum pull it off. I said in an earlier thread I expected him to finish in the top three, though I thought Mr. Paul would win Iowa.

Now Paul has a tough road ahead, going into the Northeast. We will see how he is embraced.

I had no doubt Santorum would fare well in Iowa, I just did not quite expect this. If you are Santorum, you have to be extremely pleased right now and hoping like mad you can pull this off.

If Santorum upsets the candidates and takes Iowa, this could be a huge bump for him in the polls and will be interesting to see how the rest of the states commence viewing him.

Santorum about to make a speech.
 
Dec 2011
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Ummm, why is Santorum up at the podium acting like he won? The results are still coming in, and it is too close to call.

In fact, on Fox News, they have a live, updating graphic on the right-hand side and it now shows Romney up by a few votes.
 

myp

Jan 2009
5,841
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At this point I think both Paul and Santorum can count that as victories (especially the latter) and Romney is just going to have to keep moving. New Hampshire is heavily in Romney's favor right now though, so he has that to look forward to.

Santorum will struggle going forward because his organization is no where near where Paul and Romney's are- he has A LOT of work to do if he wants to stay a major player.

Rick Perry in his speech said he will be heading to Texas to see what to do now. Might suggest an early end for the governor. Who he endorses will be important if he drops.
 
Dec 2011
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Huntsman bringing up the rear with 1%.

I suppose saying, "They pick corn in Iowa. They pick presidents in New Hampshire," did not blow over too well out there.

Bachmann only getting 5% in Iowa hurts her bad. She will stay in because she is stubborn and actually believes she has a chance, but it will only get worse for her. If she cannot do better in a state like Iowa, she will bomb in the Northeast.
 

myp

Jan 2009
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Huntsman didn't even campaign in Iowa though so that is part of it too. And Bachmann will have money problems which will probably lead to her dropping out.
 
Dec 2011
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I suppose Bachmann can commence printing up those "We Beat Huntsman" t-shirts.

Santorum up by thirty-four votes with 99% reporting.
 

myp

Jan 2009
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Inside sources say Romney will win by fourteen votes.

It won't really matter- certainly not in delegates. The only difference would be in media coverage, but with a race this close I think they'll both end up sharing the victory in that regard.
 

myp

Jan 2009
5,841
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Not in this context.

In the context of elections, points mean percentage points. No one uses points to signify people- have you ever heard anyone say candidate A won by 30,000 points today or something along those lines?
 
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